Category: Forex news

S&P 500 Price Outlook: Index Tests Trendline Extremes in Bear Market

So you've heard that the S&P 500 price outlook indicates an upcoming bear market. You want to do something to protect your investment, but don't know what. In this article I'll go over some of the indicators you can use to spot a bear market and what you can do to ensure your financial security.

It's relatively easy to spot a bear market because all you have to do is compare the direction of the trend line of the S&P with the direction of the trendline of the prior and previous five market cycles (the average length of a bear market). If the current trend line appears to have edged downward and the previous ones had consistently turned upward, then the price will likely continue to tumble.

What exactly does it mean when the price index of the S&P 500 gets lower during the bear market? Let's take a look at four of the most important things you should be watching for.

First, if the trendline of the S&P gets lower and the previous one was stronger than it is today, then that means that the S&P 500 is likely to drop in the coming weeks. The index has usually either dropped sharply or steadily for several years before the bear market period. This should tell you that there's a chance that the current price might fall even further than it is now.

Second, another sign that the index is heading for a low is when there are several bears that seem to have aligned themselves around a trendline that has lowered since the last cycle. For example, you'll see several bulls that seem to have aligned around the trendline of the S&P when the index falls below two hundred and fifty points. This is usually a sign that there's going to be a bear market. Third, the trendline of the S&P Index appears to have curved downward during several years and shows no signs of stopping this time. Usually, the previous cycle ended with the index at two hundred and fifty points. Since the price index has been trending downward, you can expect that it will continue to do so, which suggests that the prices of the stocks will be lower.

Fourth, the index recently fell sharply during the past three years and the future market prices for the stocks haven't been any different from what they were before. After all, in the previous five market cycles, the S&P Index rose consistently and the future prices didn't differ much from the past five cycles. Since the future market prices have been lower, then that would suggest that the future prices for the stocks won't be any different.

Even though these four indicators can help you to spot a bear market and to take action to protect your portfolio, it's also very important to understand the definition of a bear market and how it differs from a bull market. There's a good explanation for this difference in this article.

In order to keep your money safe during a bear market, it's best to invest only part of your portfolio in the index itself. Instead, concentrate on the small cap stocks and gold. Using your small cap stocks to protect the remaining portion of your portfolio from being wiped out in a bear market is a good way to avoid a wipe out in a bear market as well.

Most people think that they can just rely on the price of the index to tell them when to buy and sell. But this approach will usually backfire and cause the investors to lose more money than they can afford to lose.

To determine when the next bull market is about to occur, you need to understand how the index behaves during a bull market. It tends to follow a trend line, but that doesn't mean it stays on a trend.

The reason this is so important is because of the nature of the stock market. A bull market often lasts longer than a bear market and can be just as volatile, if not more so, so that a bear market.

Gold Prices Drop Despite Coronavirus Scare, ECB in Focus

Gold prices plummeted when the news of the Coronavirus scare spread, as a result the price of gold dropped. As the market continued to drop, a number of economic analysts raised their concerns regarding the declining price.

Many in the financial community believe that gold prices will continue to drop, as more people are becoming aware of the Coronavirus. One thing they are concerned about is that consumers will abandon gold altogether. If consumers see the value of gold dropping, it could cause a dramatic decline in the value of the dollar.

This is particularly alarming, since in recent years, gold has only gained value and is currently one of the strongest holdings against the dollar, the strongest currently. The price of gold, and its reserves, has been steadily rising in recent years. It will be interesting to see how long the Coronavirus scare lasts, or if it will cause consumers to start selling gold instead of spending it.

Meanwhile, interest rates on money are dropping all over the world. When interest rates fall, prices of any type of asset rise. This is due to the fact that the amount of money available for loans and credit will increase.

In the past, as interest rates have risen, prices of assets have declined. The Fed's efforts to prop up the market have done nothing to help the economy. If there was something to fear, it should have been the interest rates, not the Coronavirus scare.

The global recession has set in, and the dollar has continued to weaken. Gold prices are down by about 60% since 2020. That is a big decline in a relatively short period of time.

With the economy in the doldrums, and interest rates dropping, the value of paper assets continues to rise. That's because the amount of paper assets will increase.

With paper assets increasing, the dollar will continue to weaken. More countries will be forced to give in to currency crises, and that will hurt the United States' image worldwide. This makes the problems of the global recession even worse.

The Coronavirus scare, and falling gold prices, may be a sign that the global recession has been delayed for another year or two. It is possible that the financial institutions are holding off on injecting liquidity into the market, which could end up hurting the stock market, and finally lift interest rates back up.

They may also try to tighten monetary policy, so as to maintain the confidence of central banks around the world. Gold will eventually recover, but only after central banks get serious about helping the economy. When that happens, gold prices will begin to climb again.

It is possible that gold prices will stabilize, and that we will be back in a recession within a year or two. It is also possible that gold prices will rise, as citizens demand the US dollar to strengthen, and the world falls back into recession.

The value of gold prices will vary from month to month, depending on whether the US economy is strong or weak. As long as there is an economic crisis, it is possible that gold prices will rise again.

EUR/USD to Face Larger Pullback as RSI Falls Back from Overbought Zone

As the EUR/USD trades through the recent range, the charts show it is likely to retrace along a horizontal line from its highs before the divergence, perhaps to a high of EUR 1.2790, although it is not a very strong support level. The EUR/USD has been trading to highs that are below the swing high on the previous Friday.

The EUR/USD has crossed the resistance at the low of the trade range from this high, with other consolidation levels also tested again. But there is a question as to whether the break of this resistance zone is sufficient for the upper-elevation support set by yesterday's high will last. Because, if the current range continues to be widened beyond the weak area of the mid-month highs, the EUR/USD may again become a long-term overbought.

At this point, the EUR/USD is in an extension of the trade range, however, it will probably have crossed the technical levels from the recent highs. The charts indicate the range has been extended by a few points and is now contained in the high-risk area.

And since EUR/USD has entered a more aggressive extended trading range, it is possible that the upper-elevation resistance has fallen. It is possible that this area is now no longer solid enough to sustain the bullish momentum created by the EUR/USD as it pushes higher in the charts.

The EUR/USD has been on a trading path that has been above the swing high and this trading range has been tested as it has moved beyond the weak economic data. The charts are not certain as to whether the wedge formed at the high-trend line will continue or whether the EUR/USD may fail to absorb any additional growth.

The technical analysis points to the potential for reversal within the extended trade range. Trading above the wedge created by the daily low-point and high-point of yesterday's high could bring about further gains and could move the range in a slightly stronger direction than the recent price action has shown.

It appears that the resistance zone may have fallen or the EUR/USD is moving lower when the technicals show a sideways channel forming and this channel has become tightened. This may have encouraged the breakdown of the wedge in the market.

The channel has probably expanded a little and has passed the line formed at the high-trend line, which confirms that the trade range has been broken. In addition, the trade channel has narrowed but it may have opened a little wider in order to allow the weaker economic data to continue to act as support.

This means that the trade range may be open a little wider and this is a new entry point for the EUR/USD. But a new entry point may well be triggered by a slightly lower barrier than the recent highs and lower than the weakness previously found in the channel, perhaps even approaching the strength of the recent resistance, such as seen earlier in the week.

These may be the conditions that a resistance level may be established for the recovery and the trade range may be continued once again. With the prices being higher than they were yesterday, and the trend line in the channel more open than it was, then the bullish psychology may remain intact and could actually provide further gains.

The bullishness and the failure of economic data in the United States to give some support to this sentiment factors that drove the EUR/USD lower and now we see a short-term reaction of the same factors and the decline in the price. However, the market may pick up once again in a day or two, perhaps given more time to digest the economic data.

The break of the strength of the resistance in the channel has allowed some entry points for the breakout of the range of the EUR/USD. Once this is achieved, then the EUR/USD will begin to move higher and may go beyond the trade range formed in the channel, opening up a new trade area in the mid-week.

AUD/USD Slips to Fresh 2020 Low as RSI Dips Deeper into Oversold Zone

Has the uptrend in AUD/USD reached a breaking point? Is there any way back out?

If you look at the current market trends, the Australian dollar is setting new highs against its major peers. There is one currency that has maintained the resistance level and one that is setting the lowest points of resistance. The Australian dollar (AUD/USD) has been testing that point since last year and has managed to break through it.

So, what is the issue? Deep in the pivot area of the strong retracement at the low of December 2020, the AUD/USD is slipping into oversold territory. The major bearish pressure was triggered by the United States Federal Reserve's December announcement of continued policy tightening. Following the decision, the USD appreciated aggressively against major currencies and the AUD has performed poorly, losing around two percent of its value.

Bearish sentiment is enhanced by expectations that the US Federal Reserve will soon go from their ultra-easy monetary policy stance to a stricter approach. With the strong support level falling away, this will open the door for new lows and for more potential sideways price movement in the AUD/USD.

If you are familiar with the Australian dollar, you will understand the importance of this key area. Most of the past rallies have occurred in this zone. In fact, most of the bullish rallies have taken place in this part of the chart. But the large bears have found ways to take advantage of this weakness.

It is important to realize that not all currency pairs are going to be volatile. As a trader, it is important to not succumb to emotions and be able to pick up on the signal of strength from that breakout or the weakness from the correction.

Now, it is also worth noting that the AUD/USD is a very important currency pair. The low of December is such a strong resistance level because it is the pivot of this big rally against the major currency pairs.

If you are willing to hold your position and hold your profits until the end of the year, then this type of currency pairs usually do offer good resistance levels. If you are in a downtrend and are looking for good support, then the weakness in the AUD/USD at the low of December is a very good time to put your money to work and win trades.

If you are looking for a breakout or a reversal, then you may want to consider those two currency pairs at the low of December. Of course, the strengths and weaknesses of each pair should be taken into account before deciding on a trading strategy.

However, the large global market players have often been prepared to take risks in currency pairs with strong fundamentals. There has never been a better time to decide whether the AUD/USD is set for a breakout or if the downside is too great to justify the trade.

The next few months will be very important to determine if the AUD/USD is set for a breakout or if the weakness at the low of December is a warning sign that there are large systemic risks associated with currency pairs that have weak fundamentals. fundamentals.

The charts suggest that there are some strong currency pairs that can perform well at lower levels than the current low of December and that is a good time to consider. their positions.

Crude Oil Prices Down, Near Term Production Cut Hope Fade

Crude Oil prices are going down, and the fundamentals of the economy are not helping the case for a further cut in production. Some traders believe that lower prices will make U.S. producers less competitive and reduce their willingness to agree to a production cut. Others, however, see the opposite possibility.

It's a good idea to watch the price of crude oil closely in order to get an accurate picture of where prices will go. Speculation is always an issue, so it is wise to be careful how you weigh your arguments. More accurate analysis comes from using the market data to determine if the current price is fair and if it will remain stable. Of course, there is also the question of what we can do about it.

The price of oil has a constant relationship with supply and demand. The reason for this is that while the United States produces more oil than it needs, other countries such as Canada and Mexico have a surplus of oil because they produce so much more than they need. In order to keep the global economy moving forward, it is important to keep the number of barrels needed up while restricting the amount of oil that is produced.

For several years, there has been a lack of political will and there has been a lot of talk about making changes to our energy policy. However, because there is little support for making any significant changes, the current administration has little incentive to make significant changes either. Unless a major upheaval occurs that leads to a change in government policies, the idea of further lowering of the oil output levels is unlikely.

Crude oil prices are likely to go down for a period of time and for some time to come. This is good news for people who sell oil on the futures market. After all, the value of the price of oil is directly tied to the level of demand. That means that if demand continues to increase, the price of oil is likely to go down.

For those investors who hold oil on the futures market, there is no way that the oil prices can continue to stay at these levels. If the prices go down, most of the purchases by traders will be discontinued. At this point, only small holders can hold out for the prices to rise again, but this is very unlikely to happen.

Right now, the near-term prospects for crude oil prices are very poor. Unless something dramatic changes, the oil market will be hit with a period of severe under-production. Since the prices of gas, food and other commodities have risen, the least that consumers can do is continue to cut back on their consumption.

After this period of under-production, the oil prices are likely to rise again as we begin to enter into a stronger recovery. During this time, traders will still need to diversify their portfolios. However, the timescale for the profits to start increasing again will be slow as we continue to work through the current period of under-production.

As long as oil remains so cheap oil will continue to help prop up the economy and this will help keep inflation under control, especially in an environment where the global economy is still recovering from the recession. This can only mean one thing - lower rates for consumers and a weaker dollar.

At the near term, the only way that prices are likely to fall is if the production levels decline significantly. Right now, this seems unlikely because no nation wants to make cuts, given the damage that would be done to their finances and their competitiveness. Instead, production levels are likely to rise, particularly in the Middle East.

In the near term, prices are likely to go down because no nation wants to curtail production at this point. Most oil producing nations will need to boost their supply in order to compete and if they go over their daily capacity, it is unlikely that oil prices will decrease as they rise again. as demand will increase.

Australian Dollar Outlook Bearish as AUD/NZD Resumes Retreat

You may be surprised to learn that Australia's currency has been in a "bearish" state for quite some time. The fact that it has actually been out of a bearish state for several years now, and has remained so over the past few months, is something that many Americans would not be surprised to hear. Although they would probably agree that Australia was hit hard by the Euro crisis, they are much more concerned that Australia's economy might be facing a difficult time.

A number of factors have made this country more vulnerable than many of its peers. One of these factors is the surge in commodity prices over the past two years. Another factor is the fact that the Australian dollar has risen significantly in the past several months.

And yet another factor has been the "bad news" which the Australian government has published on its Economic Statement of the Government. One factor which has come under considerable criticism is the fact that the Australian government has said that the country has an excess of money, and therefore, cannot maintain its economic growth. These particular words were all the more harsh given that Australia is a part of the OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) and has a strong trading relationship with the rest of the world.

This is a country that has had to deal with many economic problems throughout the past decade. At one point, Australia was considered a "nice place to do business" due to its "unmatched" political stability, and its willingness to take on the obligations which were imposed upon it by the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

Today, Australia is at risk of another financial meltdown, this time, over the country's currency. Not because it has run out of money, but because it has increased in value, even more than the US dollar.

According to John Keane, the founder of a respected brokerage firm, ANZ, Australia could be suffering from what has been termed as a "McDonald's effect." In other words, a constant and pronounced depreciation of the currency. He says that a number of banks have indicated to him that they are concerned about their liquidity.

Another problem which has been on the minds of a large portion of the Australian population, is that if the exchange rate rises, how will they be able to purchase necessities when the "big boys" do not supply them with the necessary amount of money? But the answer to this is that they will only be able to purchase necessities with the Australian dollar.

If you look at the purchasing power of the Australian dollar in relation to the US dollar, you can see that Australia is not far behind the US in terms of purchasing power. According to the Reserve Bank of Australia, the exchange rate with the US is relatively close to its average for the past four years.

This means that despite the fact that Australia's economy is currently thriving, it may not be able to maintain its current level of activity for very long. After all, this is a small nation, which does not have the resources that America possesses.

Although there is no immediate threat to the Australian economy, the problem of a weakening currency is causing a stir among analysts, as more experts begin to worry about the future of the Australian economy. If Australia's monetary policy continues to follow the path that it has taken in the past few years, then Australia will be forced to struggle to maintain its economic growth for the foreseeable future. In order to avoid the "McDonald's effect," Australia should adopt a very aggressive stance with regards to raising interest rates. The Australian government should recognize that if they continue on this path, they will eventually lead to a sharp fall in the country's currency.

Sterling Weakens Ahead of Preliminary EU-UK Trade Talks

Sterling could weaken ahead of Preliminary EU-UK Trade Talks as the UK's departure from the European Union makes it more likely that negotiations would need to take place at a higher level of speed. However, this does not mean that the UK cannot gain access to other markets, and the gains are huge.

Sterling is a very strong currency in the context of the rest of the world due to its relationship with the US Dollar. Therefore, this means that when the US Dollar depreciates against other currencies, then the pound can also depreciate (or rise) in the same way.

This will happen because countries outside the EU trade more and therefore they would have a greater desire to have access to these markets as well. It is possible that the UK will not be able to negotiate a bilateral deal that allows it to trade freely in one of these markets.

These trading partners include some of the largest economies in the world, namely the United States, Japan, Australia, Canada, and most importantly, the European Union. The EU comprises over 50% of the world's population and it has a trade volume roughly equal to the US and China.

If the UK were to continue on the same trading levels as it was at during the period prior to the UK's withdrawal from the EU, this would mean that the British economy would only compete against the economies of European countries. In addition, the UK would not be able to create its own external trading market, therefore it would only benefit from the trade deals it has with the EU and the USA.

Although the economy may experience a significant decline in trade over the next few years, the referendum will likely allow the UK to renegotiate some trade deals, and this can only be beneficial for the British economy. Sterling is also very attractive in comparison to theEuro as well as the US Dollar, so if it was seen that the UK could be able to maintain the current trading level, this would imply that the Bank of England was going to raise interest rates in order to maintain economic growth.

There have been many issues surrounding the negotiations of the Preliminary Trade Talks between the UK and the EU. In recent days, there has been much speculation regarding the issue of agriculture and animal welfare laws, which are needed to make sure that animals are treated humanely.

If the UK were to leave the EU on animal welfare grounds, then this would affect agricultural trade in the UK and this could lead to lower prices for consumers. Obviously, this would hit agricultural producers hard, but this could be considered a victory for consumers.

This could lead to more production, and therefore the country could become better off through increased trade deals, while other countries would not. The EU would benefit as well, as animal rights would put pressure on other countries in other fields, like in the fishing industry.

The ongoing debate could mean that Brexit becomes more likely, especially if the EU is able to win concessions on some of its trade deals with the UK. This is why the government must be careful in how it negotiates the deal.

For now, the Preliminary Trade Talks is going to be an extremely important part of the British economy. They can either boost the economy, or they can be extremely damaging, but if the negotiation goes smoothly, it could lead to great growth.

Crude Oil, S&P 500 Sink as Gold Prices Rally. Market Volatility Back?

If Crude Oil, S&P 500, and Gold are in a rally, why is the Market Volatility back to normal? Are we approaching a Bottom in the Stock Market?

The conventional theories of volatility are changing dramatically as those 'old fashioned' theories are being challenged by those new and different theories. What is behind this change?

The new models are based on hidden correlations that are becoming increasingly apparent as the world slowly transitions from oil to other fuels. Some of these models can be extremely accurate. This kind of 'Correlation with Clarity' is not something we've seen before.

The new theories are less about what people want to believe and more about what they don't want to believe. The old models have been very successful at portraying a current scenario that most people want to continue to believe, while the new models offer the possibility of an entirely different future. We are in a transition from a slow and steady growth towards an even faster and more volatile growth.

In the past, people were starting to believe in the Theory of Commodity Markets - that people would buy commodities because of what they do for work and not just because they want them. When the middle class began to fall further behind, many economists and investors became convinced that governments would be forced to do whatever it took to make everything work. To avoid being swept off their feet, governments raised taxes, cut services, and generally worked the markets harder in order to create a bigger crash.

A lot of people thought this was necessary, but they also had a long-standing understanding that when economic conditions became such that people had to raise taxes, cut spending, and make things even harder to get even worse, this means that money will flow from the government into the stock market. By pushing prices higher, the government was going to protect their citizens from ever having to confront their own economic policies.

As the markets recover, we see that our governments are turning away from their previous plan to keep prices down and attempt to move prices higher. People are having a hard time understanding what the changes are, and they don't know if we are in a transition from a slow-growth economy to a fast-growth economy.

The fact that we are entering into what looks like a Financial Crisis makes me think that the historical pattern of cycles is about to change. In a period of economic recovery, we will no longer be able to hide the trends and predict how long it will take to reach new peaks, or if a major collapse will occur at all.

The new Wall Street logic is that cycles are about to change, so that will mean that instead of trying to keep the markets moving in a predictable direction, we'll be required to actually predict where they're going. For instance, we might see a return to industrial strength like we did in the nineteen eighties, but we might also see another crash that wipes out our stock market.

These are the kinds of things that people like me like to analyze because we look at the stock markets and see how they tend to shift over time. Not only does the bull market seem to be growing stronger, but I think that it may be getting weaker too.

As long as there is money flowing into these markets, people will keep using them, and we'll keep seeing the markets bounce back and forth. But, it won't be because we've been taught that we need to believe that the same thing will happen over again.

Australian Dollar Up as Job Creation Surges Again, But Full-Time Roles Fall

The Australian dollar has been up recently and that can lead to job creation. Both retail and manufacturing jobs are being created. When the dollar increases against the euro, it means the Australian dollar should be strong.

Since there is unemployment in the U.S., some economists say it might mean the American economy is coming back into shape and, because of this, it's better for the dollar to be rising as well. I don't think the Australian dollar will fall, but this may be a good time to buy some U.S. stock and get a bit of foreign currency for use in the United States.

As far as job creation goes, there was an interesting study just released that showed the U.S. dollar has increased by only one percent over the past year, but that shows the Australian dollar can be stronger as well. The world's largest economy is coming out of recession and that means many people are getting back to work. It also means more people may want to be self-employed or work for smaller businesses.

With the manufacturing sector not growing, it means more retail jobs are needed and more manufacturers are looking for workers. While there is no way to tell if the dollar will fall or rise, the outlook for jobs, especially retail jobs, is looking positive.

One good news for the property market is that not all real estate is booming. For example, the Bay area of San Francisco saw some home prices rise, but many home owners are now looking at finding smaller properties for sale.

In the last two months, the Australian dollar has been strong against the dollar, but those who invest in stocks and other real estate are seeing those values increase. More investment opportunities are available.

Retail sales are expected to improve as well. Retail workers are also returning to work, but the demand for them is still strong.

Finally, there are plenty of new jobs to go around and that means more companies are hiring. It will be nice to see more businesses hire full-time employees because many small businesses are struggling to find the labor they need.

Businesses in the retail industry will benefit from the strengthening Australian dollar. If the dollar stays up against the euro, it will help retail sales.

With the retail industry producing more jobs than in years past, there is a strong chance that the Australian dollar will remain up as well. Some business owners may decide to go with their own currencies and that will help Australia's manufacturing sector.

Overall, the retail industry is having trouble finding enough employees because many new businesses are downsizing. If the dollar stays strong, that means more people will be able to find work and the retail industry will benefit from this.

AUD/USD Monthly Low on Radar amid Muted Reaction to US-China Deal

The ongoing Forex Business Week in Hong Kong is the largest of its kind in Asia and one of the most anticipated topics of discussion is the Interbank Foreign Exchange (Forex) Market. Based on a three-day seminar, over a hundred participants gathered and discussed how to proceed with forex trading. The primary focus was on how to interpret the recent developments and news in the world of forex and make informed decisions regarding the next moves.

Most participants recommended that market participants begin by analyzing the recent developments of the Chinese economy, which will only help the forex traders understand the fundamental reasons for the expected slowdown. The market will also come out of its loose trading pattern and become more active.

It is important to bear in mind that the Chinese economic weakness is going to last much longer than previously anticipated. There are many companies whose products are now becoming difficult to sell due to the current overcapacity in the Chinese manufacturing sector. The global demand for the nation's manufacturing products will not be sufficient to keep up with the ongoing demand for those products.

Due to the overcapacity, the ability of China to manufacture will be negatively affected and this is the reason why many businesses have no choice but to shut down or drastically cut down their production. Many factors are causing the slowing of China's economic growth.

The reduction in demand for Chinese manufactured goods has been attributed to the slowing down of the Chinese economy. The government is aware of the problem but has little control over the Chinese economy, so it is likely that the government will simply have to do nothing and watch the economy fall deeper into the recession.

This is the scenario that is being created by the downturn in the economy of China. The country needs to find other ways to increase its manufacturing output so that it can again re-invent itself as a manufacturing powerhouse.

One of the aspects of the Chinese economy that is slowing down is the demand for manufacturing products. People are less willing to buy imported manufactured goods in the global marketplace because they are seeing the heavy cost of these goods. It is not possible for any nation to spend massive amounts of money on manufactured goods in order to compete with the rising costs of imported products.

This is why many business experts in China believe that it will take a long time before the country's manufacturing sector emerges from the previous doldrums. The fear is that a Chinese manufacturing industry will be unable to generate enough demand for its goods as a result of the current global economic downturn.

As of now, there is no solid reason to believe that the economy of China will be able to reverse its current slowing trend. Many investors expect the economy of China to continue to slow down through 2020.

When the Chinese government considers a stimulus package to encourage industrial growth and employment creation, the plan is sure to be questioned by the current investors of China. The details of the plan will be very important as to how it will be implemented.

In the end, there is no guarantee that the economy of China will be able to reverse its current downturn. It would be a wise decision for investors to try and protect themselves from such a possibility by learning as much as they can about forex trading.